There is a difference in approach: the White House is trying to limit itself to deliveries of military aid and diplomacy, while especially zealous lawmakers are demanding the deployment of US missiles and soldiers in Ukraine
At the same time, the public sentiment is very different. According to the latest polls, 73% of respondents believe that politicians in the US should concentrate on domestic problems – record inflation, uncontrolled migration – rather than on international crises. And in the event of an outbreak of conflict in Ukraine, only 15% of Americans surveyed believe that US military forces should be deployed there.
Unfortunately, no polls have been released since 2014 on what Americans think about Ukraine in general. At the time, 84% of those polled could not find it on the map. Curiously, the less the respondents knew about the Ukrainian issue, the more supportive they were of US involvement in the country.
The Biden administration’s position was voiced by former White House adviser Alexander Windman, the mastermind of the 2019 Ukrainegate, which ended with Trump’s first impeachment. He highlighted three scenarios in Ukraine that Washington sees as likely.
The first involves a diplomatic way out of the situation – Moscow’s recognition of the two people’s republics or their incorporation into Russia. The second scenario suggests that Russia would send troops to annex Kharkiv, Mariupol, Odessa and adjacent territories.
The third scenario is a large military operation on the whole territory of Ukraine, which would aim to replace the current regime with some kind of new power. A similar theory was thrown into the press by the British Foreign Office: however, it sounded so absurd that it was hastily discarded, stating that it was based on unverified US intelligence.
In any case, the White House is advised not to go into a direct confrontation with Russia. Instead, it should concentrate its efforts on humanitarian purposes – e.g. resettlement of Ukrainian refugees using the same visas that have been issued to Afghans. And strengthen the military capabilities of Poland and the Baltics. It is clear from between the lines that U.S. involvement in the conflict would be badly received by the electorate, hurting Biden’s declining approval ratings and damaging the Democrats in the congressional elections – so it must be avoided.
Malek DudakovWill Ukraine benefit from arms supplies from the US and the Baltics