It has been a little over 5 years since the first uttering of “Assad must go” was heard from the West. Since then, the political scene has changed, and puppets such as David Cameron, Tony Abbott, Nicolas Sarkozy, Stephan Harper, Ahmet Davutoğlu, Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Sheik Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, Bandar bin Sultan, Mohamed Morsi, who all called for Assad’s head, have all either died or left office.
And soon Barrack Obama, Francois Hollande, and Angela Merkel will also feel the need to dust-off their suitcases. The main candidates for their replacement are Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, and Alternative for Germany respectively. What do they all have in common? Yes, they are not “Russophobic”. They seemingly understand that we are living in a new era where the centre of global power is not focused in Washington DC, but is diffused across different continents – Iran, China, Russia, India, possibly even Cuba and Vietnam if the old Soviet bases are reactivated. No longer will Hollywood and Steve Jobs be the first thing people think of when they are asked “What inspires you?”
But in the meantime, there is a spiritual dark hole situated in the Middle East that must be purged. This hole began as a crevice (Libya) and formed into a full-blown cataclysm. But can it really be described as “regional”? If we consider how many countries are involved in Syria and Iraq, whether it be covertly or overtly, it becomes apparent that in actuality it is a global confrontation, but in the context of Fourth Generation Warfare. The era of pieces of paper entitled “Declaration of War” being placed on the desk of an adversary’s embassy ended the day the Hammer and Sickle was flown over the Reichstag. Today, the truncated way in which we communicate, and the developments in technology to meet the needs of an ever-expanding population and capitalist system, have led to scenarios where a state can violate the sovereign borders of another state without a UN mandate, drop a few bombs, and safely return back to base – without any reprisal WHAT SO EVER! We have heard the terms “International Law” and “R2P” on a loop since 9/11 and the spawning of Islamic State in the Levant, but much like language itself – its overuse results in a total loss of meaning.
So is the UN experiencing fundamental changes? After all, if a country like Libya can be, frankly speaking, raped into oblivion, all its assets pillaged, and its legitimate leader executed in the streets, one cannot help but wonder what exactly the UN’s role is in the modern world order. Against the background of the UN’s identity crisis (although some would say it is and always was an organ of the Anglo-Saxons) Russia and China have been working in tandem to reform the UN and to bring back the letter of the law, something that was torn up post WW2. Capitalism without order results in an out-of-control foreign policy, to the point where proxies begin to dictate to the puppetmaster what to say and where to go. Is it Saudi Arabia bowing down to Britain, or is it the contrary – after all, one is sitting on an ocean of oil, and the other has no infrastructure of resources. It’s not that the tail is wagging the dog – it’s that the rest of the body is lifeless.
This is why the war in Syria is the result of many nodes on the global chessboard aligning, or in other words, the interests of many US proxies agreeing on one thing – Assad must go! But in reality, under the hood, the aim of the war is not regime change, although the Assad family has always had Soviet leanings. The US could have very easily removed Assad back in 2011, but had to take into account their primary objective – the partitioning of the Levant. How could they surround Damascus, knowing full well the Russian Bear was watching, and at the same time create demarcation lines? In order to do this early on, the US needed boots on the ground. They failed at the first hurdle – Europe did not unify to pass the No Fly Zone at the UN. This meant proxy warfare was to be the main means of invasion.
Mercenaries from every corner of the world were sent into Syria. US/EU “special advisors” had the responsibility of commanding them and making sure that embarrassment was kept to a minimum. Working in tandem to this was the mass media machine, which was well-oiled and ready to wash brains at will. NGO’s were established and well-connected to the media machine – everything was in sync. Jihadsists were released from the “detention centres” in Iraq and Guantanamo and told to create new groups. Seemingly overnight the network of these groups started to resemble a genealogy tree of the House of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha.
The system can be categorised as follows:
* US overtly backed “Oppositionists” who are told to wave the green and white flag – “Free Syrian Army”. They are Al Qaeda but packaged as “Moderate”. The propaganda and PR distributed in the West needs an acceptable face – enter the White Helmets!
* Jihadists – veterans of Bosnia, Afghanistan, and Lebanon wars. Tutored at US Iraqi camps (such as Abu Mohammad al-Julani, who fought under ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi before creating his own group). They receive US shipments via the aforementioned “moderates”. They do have an ideology, and, regardless of what Murad Gazdiev from Russia Today says, they are not “secular”.
* ISIS – the clowns of Sy-raq, marionettes, easy to push around, a convenient pretext for any nation with even an average military to invade Syria. According to the 2012 DIA report, the US and friends simply closed their eyes to the convoy of Toyatas heading to Mosul – what’s good for the goose is good for the gander. As of October 2016, ISIS are one punch away from being knocked out – the liberation of Mosul will result in the remaining rats fleeing to Syria to bolster the Deir Ezzor, Idlib, Hama, and Raqqa fronts – so it’s no surprise Obama is so keen to liberate Mosul. Who will govern Mosul afterwards is the million dollar question.
* Kurds – actual separatists, unlike the citizens of Donbass, who just want the US to let go of their country. Their dreams of Rojava died the moment they attacked al-Hasakah. Now the US has no use for them, and will drop them like a child with an out of fashion toy.
With Aleppo becoming more takfiri-free as each day passes, it would seem that the US is assessing their options, on how they can retain a foothold in Syria despite the presence of the Russia’s S-400, permanent airbase in Latakia, and a legitimate reason to be in the country in the first place. Russia is also assessing its options, and thus they are planning for the worst (a moment of lunacy), but hoping for the best (victory). The terrorist structure depicted above is crumbling apart. “Moderate” groups are merging with al-Qaeda (for example, Nour al-Din al-Zenki) as they know their days in East Aleppo are numbered, Jihadist groups are merging with al-Qaeda (for example, Jund al-Aqsa), and ISIS has already moved to Europe. In summary: al-Qaeda (Jabhat Fath al-Sham) have become stronger – the list of involved parties is thinning out, which is what Russian wanted.
Thus, it can be said that Russia has managed to box the US into a corner, despite the attempts of the State Department to delay for as long as possible the as-required-by-UN task of delineating their “good guys” from the “not so good guys”. We saw this at the UN with the deliberately-designed-to-be-veteod French resolution – a no fly zone presented as a “ceasefire”. And in the interview to CNN shortly afterwards, Sergey Lavrov stood his ground and made sure Christiane Amanpour understood that the ball has been in the Washington’s court for a long time. And it’s not only CNN that received a precision guided pipe-bomb – the BBC received one also, courtesy of Dr Marcus Papadopoulos:
So with Aleppo slowly but surely being liberated, Russia permanently deploying and expanding its airgroup, aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov being prepared, Russia Today now overtly linking the White Helmets to terrorism, more Pantsir anti-air systems on the way, and western news agencies becoming more and more unpopular by the day (one truthful comment to an article = comments section is closed), it would appear the wheels are finally coming off the US military-industrial machine. Perhaps this is why we saw the recent provocations in Yemen?
But will this ever end? One thing is for sure – if it does, there will be no winners. Syria is totally decimated, and no amount of Rubles or Yuan can bring the massacred civilians back to life. Yes, the US was ejected from the Middle East, and yes, Russia managed to secure itself a strategic warm water port, but war is not a binary button that when pressed suddenly utopia arrives. A political solution cannot arrive before a military one, and Russia knows this very well. Putin has planned for the worst, but is hoping for the best, using the memories of Stalin and WW2 defeating yet another Anglo beast. Today, he now has a key ally in Turkey to help propel the situation towards the light at the end of the tunnel, and there is talk of Moscow sending Ankara some military equipment (SAM system) – perhaps an appetizer for the Turkish Stream project. Egypt also declared their desire to cooperate with Moscow, or at least that’s one way of interpreting the tweet and document below:
Russia was well prepared for this fight, militarily speaking, and will now defend Syria like its own Federal district. Barrack Obama has no interest in an escalation, regardless of what the fear-porn published by so-called “Independent Media” says (we all have to fill our fridge, right?), and liberating Mosul will be his swansong. Well, he can’t go out on bombing the Syrian Army (or UN aid convoy), can he? He should hope the memory of US citizens is as bad as it was when Bush Jr was given a second term. Whoever wins in the US elections cannot affect anything until March 2017 at the earliest, so for now the Sukhois and cruise missiles will continue to work away at the Anglo-Hydra, dismembering it piece by piece, using the opportunity to sign another Geneva “ceasefire” to replenish the exhausted Syrian Army when needed. The Western Media will continue to demonize Russia, but it will not magically create a no-fly zone. Maybe in this time the US will get bored and will pick on somebody its own size – the poorest country in MENA, Yemen.
If, in 2001, an American was told that in 15 years the US would denounce Russia for bombing al-Qaeda, their allies, what would their reaction be? Probably the same reaction as Assad if he was told a US Predator drone would in the future bomb a United Nations mission…
“ISIS, al-Nusra, and the Free Syrian Army have the same extremist ideology and grassroots.”