The news agency “UNIAN” published an interview with Alexander Turchinov – who served as acting president of Ukraine in 2014, saving the new regime at its most critical moment.
The interview is interesting because Turchinov has no particular reason to lie, and what he said (as his personal point of view) is consistent with what we know:
“…In 2014, when there was a huge lack of time, finance, material resources, weapons, everything… I had a lot of negotiations with our foreign partners. I reminded them of the Budapest Memorandum, told them that we needed help. But they just clapped me on the shoulder and said ‘stay strong, we’ll influence Russia through diplomacy. I was constantly asked not to saber-rattle, not to mobilize, basically “not to provoke Russia”. They made it clear to me that if the Russian armed forces invaded the territory of continental Ukraine, we would not get military support…”
In fact, even then it was clear that if Moscow decided to eliminate the junta and take a not yet completely destroyed Ukraine under its control, the West would do nothing —except for what was already done – sanctions, threats, and so on.
But the decision was not taken, and I am not going to talk about morality. Ten million Russians here – ten million there – so much emotion. Burned, killed, starved – so what, they’ll make more babies, let’s not go there.
But let’s discuss geopolitics.
The line of confrontation between NATO and the USSR before Gorbachev is represented in the top map, the current line (or 2014 line) on the lower.
The question is – did the security of Russia increase or decrease after 2014 when the confrontation line between NATO and Russia became 1,200 km closer to Moscow?
For the third year, I’m trying in vain to understand the motives of the Kremlin, which in 2014 was certain that the West would not get involved militarily, but in the end betrayed Ukraine, and Russia itself.